The always interesting and startlingly accurate Colby Cosh (whereby "startlingly accurate" means "often agrees with me") discusses whether it's realistic to eat locally as a means of carbon reduction.
A key chunk of his discussion:
We would not expect to have a beneficial overall effect on the environmental envelope if we all reverted to smelting our own steel in backyard furnaces, after the fashion of China's Great Leap Forward. Like the unfortunate Chinese peasants, we would go about it inefficiently, and squander a great many resources—and carbon emissions—on unusable, unsellable, or short-lived output.
Because large corporate businesses are obsessed with efficient use of inputs, for reasons having nothing to do with the environment, they must be presumed to start out with a huge environmental lead over the small producer. So why would we assume that things work any differently when it comes to food?
The new hordes of green-eating advocates are merely reviving an old and well-known problem in a new form. In the 1920s the economist Ludwig von Mises argued that rational economic production was impossible under socialism: denied the price signals that give social needs and preferences an implicit hand in every decision a capitalist enterpreneur makes, a state planner could never hope to predict demand and made informed choices. The debate over economic calculation carried on for decades, but in the end the collapse of the Soviet Union settled it to near-universal satisfaction...
De-linking household-type economic decisions (asparagus or beets?) from money considerations, and replacing them with an environmental standard of value, creates the same species of confusion. The problem of determining which bag of onions might involve the release of the least carbon would require the solving of a vast array of equations, too great for the human mind even to teach a computer to solve. Since every purchase made in a free economy is chiefly a purchase of many kinds of stored energy, it may even be that buying the cheapest food is the closest possible approximation humans can make to measuring their "environmental footprint" at the supermarket.
For those who assume Colby and I are just once again off our planet-hating rockers, Wired magazine agrees with you, but with a twist. I refer you to this month's Wired magazine, which has this heart-warming cover:
Now, Wired's article takes an approach that leads them to support buying locally (they either don't know or don't agree with the argument Colby put forward above), but even from that (mis-guided) perspective, I was amused to see that the verdict on organic food comes out the same as my never-ending grandpa Simpson-style ranting on the subject:
The path to virtue, we all know, begins with organics. Meat, milk, fruit, veggies—organic products are good for our bodies and good for the planet. Except when they're not good for the planet. Because while there may be sound health reasons to avoid eating pesticide-laden food, and perhaps personal arguments for favoring the organic-farmers' collective, the truth is that when it comes to greenhouse gases, organics can be part of the problem.
Take milk. Dairy cows raised on organic feed aren't pumped full of hormones. That means they produce less milk per Holstein—¯about 8 percent less than conventionally raised cattle. So it takes 25 organic cows to make as much milk as 23 industrial ones. More cows, more cow emissions. But that's just the beginning. A single organically raised cow puts out 16 percent more greenhouse gases than its counterpart. That double whammy—more cows and more emissions per cow—makes organic dairies a cog in the global warming machine.
How about that burger? Organic beef steers take longer to achieve slaughter weight, which gives them more time to emit polluting methane. And if you're eating hamburgers made from grass-fed cattle, don't award yourself any prizes just yet. While pastured beef offers some environmental benefit—these cows don't require carbon-intensive corn for feed, and the land they graze stores carbon more efficiently than land used for crops or left alone—they're burping up nearly twice as much methane as cattle fed grain diets, according to the UN's Food and Agriculture Organization. If you really want to adopt a climate-friendly diet, cut out meat entirely. Researchers at the University of Chicago showed that the meat-intensive diet of the average American generates 1.5 more tons of greenhouse gases per year than the diet of a vegetarian.
But even organic fruits and veggies are a mixed bushel: Organic fertilizers deliver lower-than-average yields, so those crops require more land per unit of food. And then there's the misplaced romanticism. Organic isn't just Farmer John; it's Big Ag. Plenty of pesticide-free foods are produced by industrial-scale farms and then shipped thousands of miles to their final destination. The result: refrigerator trucks belching carbon dioxide.
Organic produce can be good for the climate, but not if it's grown in energy-dependent hothouses and travels long distances to get to your fridge. What matters is eating food that's locally grown and in season. So skip the prewashed bag of organic greens trucked from two time zones away —¯ the real virtue may come from that conventionally farmed head of lettuce grown in the next county.
Whether you agree with me or are wrong on the issues, I highly recommend you check out the full Wired article, as it takes the all-too-rare approach of comparing reality to the desired outcome and chucking romantic ideals for what really makes a difference. If you really care about this stuff, then this is the kind of thinking you need to engage in, every day in every way.
Otherwise you are just helping make the problem much much worse while making yourself feel good and falsely green.
As it happens, market economics (as in, the price of gas) is significantly impacting the sale of large cars.
That doesn't mean they can't come back -- I'm old enough to remember the Carter years, when the oil embargo resulted in people abandoning their American behemoths for small fuel-efficient Japanese cars -- then as now, that was about economics, and when gas got cheap again, people gradually went back to buying yachts on wheels. Gas seems unlikely to get that cheap again, given a rising world demand (thanks in no small part to a massive reduction in poverty giving rise to a wealthier, healthier class of people who want things that require oil), but if some alternative fuel ends up making things cheap again, the behemoths will be back. |
Whether you agree with me or are wrong on the issues, I highly recommend you check out the full Wired article, as it takes the all-too-rare approach of comparing reality to the desired outcome and chucking romantic ideals for what really makes a difference. If you really care about this stuff, then this is the kind of thinking you need to engage in, every day in every way.
I agree that people need to engage in this type of conversation. But it would be haphazard to glibly accept the bullet points the Wired magazine article offers. Some are absolutely correct, others need quite a bit more contextual clarification 1) Urban Life: This is generally true. The point that should be highlighted is that local access to your work or goods makes for a minimal personal carbon footprint. The fallacy of the "wilderness" or "personal" farm model comes mostly from having to own carbon emitting equipment for a very small number of people. 2) A/Cs: Absolutely true. I'm not sure why they put this bullet item in here. Doesn't seem to be any relevant connection to their headline. Perhaps it's to highlight users to try to use less heating. I'm thinking there still is some remnant of the old A/C/refrigerator days where leaky freon reacts with O3 and turns it to O2. So they are probably trying to blur the original hesitance to freon based machines with their carbon footprint. 3) Organic food: If there's a topic that both Deadron and I can agree on is the idiocy of organic food... I don't need to expand this. 4) Old Growth Forests: Very touchy issue. This is more about a question of equilibrium. When wood decomposes or burns, it adds carbon to the atmosphere, when it is growing, it subtracts. But then you have the carbon cost (and economic cost) of implementing and monitoring this equilibrium. Mother Nature will have a lower carbon cost than any governmental action with regards to old growth. 5) China? - No idea why this even listed. Probably the biggest obstacle for the adoption of solar power comes from the net cost/kWh. Maybe he's using China as an example of low cost production? Or perhaps he's showing what happens when a government fears 1) a dirty presentation of Beijing for the Olympics, or 2) "Inconvenient Truth" projections of the decimation of three of the four largest cities in China... just odd that they would add this item. Doesn't flow with the author's agenda. 6) Genetically engineered crops - this issue is very distorted. The issue of these crops is not for it's "Frankenfood" image; it has to do with intellectual property and biodiversity. I highly recommend the documentary "Future of Food" to get a glimpse on this issue; pay most attention to the information regarding Monsanto's patents on crops and its effect on family farms. They make a claim in there with regards to the risk of lack of biodiversity... and I recall reading an article while I was watching it... it's escaping me at the moment. 7) Carbon Credits: This is dead on correct. This is anti-free market and can easily create a market to one that Enron exploited in California. I have always contended that the increased price of oil will have a far greater impact in terms of international carbon reduction. And as the article correctly points out, taxation of oil would have a far greater effect. 8) Nuclear Power: This is 100% wrong. The opportunity cost of investing in nuclear power is the worst among all other alternative energy options, in fact, it's worse than a completely new coal plant. If you would like to learn more about this, please start with the publication Winning the Oil Endgame by Amory Levins. 9) Used Cars over Hybrids - absolutely true. Then again, it should also be an economic question as well. One should hope that competition for higher efficient vehicles produces a model where new vehicles will outweigh the old ones. The market is clearly emerging with gas prices where they are. 10) Prepare for the worst - I'm guessing this is a filler. He should have focused on the economic forces behind any potential changes here. To glibly state that India and China will be the fat rabbit indicates generic malaise. Think of it as an emerging market; he indicates at least one half of it, adaptation, the other half of it is measurable proactivity. So there are four items that are very true, one completely wrong, three that have misplaced messages (GenEng food, A/C and China), one I don't know enough about (forests), and one a lazy summary bullet item. |
SUVs are cost-efficient for the manufacturers, in that they can squeeze a huge price tag onto a (price-relative) small package. They aren't by any reckoning better for the environment than a smaller car, however, since the annual demand for new automobiles doesn't change -- just the nature of the automobiles changes. More specifically, there's always X number of people per year who want to buy a vehicle, so why not make the majority of that X consist of lighter, smaller vehicles that are more efficient on fuel?
In a related rant, I'm seeing more and more Hummers pop up on our city streets every day. The other day, I came within an inch of keying one of them that was parked outside of a designated stall in a parking lot, partially straddling the line of the stall next to it, the stall next to it being a handicapped stall. Sadly, I'm not that malicious. =/ (I also took to heart your own rant about people keying "yuppie" vehicles.)