I highly doubt the shuttle will become obsolete. Especially in the sense that you'd still need it to travel in other parts of the galaxy other than just some orbiting stations or natural satellites (AKA: The moon). Though, the shuttle is deeply in need of a new design & such, it won't die nor go away. The shuttle program has proven to be a safe & cost-effective way of transporting humans & cargo to & from Earth. Not to mention their experiments. =P
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In response to Teh Governator
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Teh Governator wrote:
I highly doubt the shuttle will become obsolete. If the space elevator pulls through, I think it will; at least the current model with its emphasis on surface to orbit shuttling. Especially in the sense that you'd still need it to travel in other parts of the galaxy other than just some orbiting stations or natural satellites (AKA: The moon). The current space shuttle is not designed for such deep-space flight and would do that job poorly, as it can't even make a lunar round-trip... at least, I don't think it can. If, on the other hand, you mean hauling its external boosters on up into orbit with it so that it gets the benefit of those while already in orbit, then it might be able to do a lot more, such as blasting off to Mars and landing on a runway there. Though, the shuttle is deeply in need of a new design & such, it won't die nor go away. The shuttle program has proven to be a safe & cost-effective way of transporting humans & cargo to & from Earth. Not to mention their experiments. =P If you are being technical, as in a craft that carries objects from point A to point B, then of course the shuttle will always be used for deep-space flight, even in the far future when we are cruisin' around in our intergalactic personal vehicles equipped with hyperdrives. As for the current shuttle, I think it will get scrapped in favor of new vehicles if a space elevator goes up and works as well as planned. We would then need an orbit-to-orbit ship whose job is merely to shift things around between different orbits once taken up on the space elevator, and a deep-space ship that would take off from the top of the elevator to go elsewhere in the solar system. Eventually, we will probably have at least one space elevator on each object we wish to go frequently (with the exception of the ultralight objects whose gravity is negligible, of course) and will employ only elevator-to-elevator hoppers to get around the system. That would be the most cost-effective means of transportation. Although a space elevator seems like a huge and expensive task, it pays for itself when you consider the cost of blasting off from the surface all the time. Especially when you take into the calculations all the extra traffic space would see once its employment was cheap. |
In response to Loduwijk
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Security aside, I would think environmental wear on these would be terrible. And what do you do when a hurricane or storm stirs up near it?
Such headaches.... |
In response to Jmurph
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what if some Jack*** Places a firework on one of the cables, the whole thing calapses.
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In response to digitalmouse
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"Look at me trampoline, Mum! Whee! I can fly! I can fly... I can't fall. Oh BUGGER!"
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In response to Strawgate
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Strawgate wrote:
what if some Jack*** Places a firework on one of the cables, the whole thing calapses. Do you honestly think that no one would see someone walking up and planting a firework on a massive structure that could be seen on most parts of the world? I mean, with something so expensive, I'm sure they can't just spend a little bit of cash on 24/7 armed guard protection, CCTV coverage of the entire area, and a whole range of super-advanced kick ass weaponry. =D |
In response to Jmurph
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Jmurph wrote:
Security aside, I would think environmental wear on these would be terrible. And what do you do when a hurricane or storm stirs up near it? As for the hurricane, it would only cover the bottom fraction of a percent of the cable. Thousands of miles of it would be out in space, and only a few miles would be affected by the weather. Therefor, I don't think it would do much to moving the cable out of place. As for wear and tear, even including the hurricanes, I don't think it would be too bad. Remember, we are talking about a super-material here that puts steel and titanium to shame. Carbon nano spheres and tubes are the most durable material mankind has discovered, and some scientists even go so far as to say that we will never find a material stronger. Look at the 100-story skyscrapers. They are made of weaker materials and have more surface area inside the weather-affected area, so I would think we would have to worry about the Empire State Building and the Sears building and such before we worry about a space elevator where durability is concerned. Remember, the cable will probably be quite thin, I would guess half a foot to a few weet in diameter; so it won't be catching nearly as much wind as a building. |
In response to Strawgate
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A firework would probably not even dent the material. If you set off a fireworks display on top of a foot-thick steel cable, does it break?
Even beyond that, you would either have to walk up to the base of it and attack the cable (which I'm assuming has a tunnel going straight into the elevator crawler itself like in an airport so you can't just walk up to it easily and which also probably has massive security), attack it while in the elevator riding up (they probably won't let you on with anything that would be capable of harming it), or flying up to its mid-section, which is probably your best bet. As for flying up to it, I would hope it has massive anti-air protection, probably from the government. It would be in the government's best interest, as well as everyone elses, to be sure it is protected well, even if that takes an entire aircraft carrier with cruiser and sub support. Lastly, what if it does break? I'm sure they will have precautions for that. The elevator itself, if having people aboard, would hopefully be equipped with controlled crash-landing equipment like the early space flights. The portion under the break would fall into the sea and be retrieved to be reconnected. The portion above the break would start to shoot out into space. Whether the top portion would have enough momentum to leave Earth or whether it would simple fall into a large orbit, I'm not sure. If it is the former, the top would probably be equipped with rockets to decelerate into orbit. Once it is in orbit, they reposition it. |
In response to Joulux
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Well, that's your choice. Although it'd help if you actually explained why.
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In response to Elation
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Elation wrote:
I mean, with something so expensive, I'm sure they can't just spend a little bit of cash on 24/7 armed guard protection, CCTV coverage of the entire area, and a whole range of super-advanced kick ass weaponry. =D I wonder if protection costs are factored into the $400 a trip estimate. I'm guessing it'd have failsafes to prevent it from actually breaking into two parts even if it took heavy damage. I doubt anyone would let them build it if they hadn't planned for every situation short of a nuclear assult. I guess the best way to do it is build it so it would fall on your enemies, not you. |
In response to Loduwijk
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I'm sure they plan for these things, too. But even if an event doesn't catch much of the cable, I would think any microdamage could be disastrous because of the stresses involved. End even if it manages to avoid direct impact, things like wind could cause tremendous harmonic oscillation. Can you imagine the sway on soemthing like that?
Oh well, I guess that's why they have engineers on it :-) |
In response to Jmurph
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Jmurph wrote:
Can you imagine the sway on soemthing like that? Solution. Market it as a ride in a Theme Park! |
In response to DarkView
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I can just imagine in the news
*news person* "Brand New F15 Flys into nasa space elevator" |
In response to Jmurph
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Jmurph wrote:
I'm sure they plan for these things, too. But even if an event doesn't catch much of the cable, I would think any microdamage could be disastrous because of the stresses involved. End even if it manages to avoid direct impact, things like wind could cause tremendous harmonic oscillation. Can you imagine the sway on soemthing like that? Yes, of course. There are many factors involved, and it's not a simple matter. Despite all my objections in its favor, I'm not the optimist who ignores the cons. There may well be risks, I'm not denying that. But there are risks in all advances, and I think the risks for this are worth it. |
In response to Strawgate
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One would hope that a fighter aircraft would have no reason to go near the space elevator. =) Unless it was there for protection, but I don't see them needing patrolling aircraft; bit of a waste of fuel when you can just observe from the ground, use anti-aircraft guns, and scramble your aircraft if necessary.
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In response to Crispy
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*News Person* "Orbiting Sataliete hits top of Elevator knocking the contraption over. Millions evacuate, hundreds dead."
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In response to Joulux
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It's definitely true. The idea has been around for ages, and somebody actually intending to use it is quite likely. Can you imagine the amount of money you would earn by possessing the cheapest option into space so far? Huge capital, but it would be ridiculously profitable.
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In response to Strawgate
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Fat chance. Sattelites do not run into each other unless you're actually trying for a collision. Space is big, sattelites are in controlled orbits. A bigger worry would be space junk.
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Sure, but putting a rocket together and getting the fuel is expensive.
Just get criminals and ropes and whips and there you go!